Paragraph one is spot fucking on. I'm going to steal this and shove it to down the throat every mouth-breathing idiot that insists on proposing unrealistic guesses on how the plot will unfold.
@Graham, but this is topical and appropriate. If I quoted from a book I haven't read, I'd come across like a cerebral and needling asshole. Also a liar and a fake.
I mean, uh. Yeah. What Graham said. NERD.